asiafish wrote:Being mainstream is not the only definition of success, being available, superior and co mmon-enough that you don't have to hunt for it is enough for me.
I see your point, but I just disagree with it. It's true that it's not just about being mainstream (e.g., Thinkpads and other business machines are not mainstream, but are not failures), however for something such as a
standard, I think the way to measure success is by how widespread it is.
Although Firewire is not as obscure as, say, DVD-RAM (a vastly superior storage format that died almost at birth), in the sense that you can get peripherals for it, I judge its success best on what I'd expect it can achieve considering its technological merits. And it is clearly an underachiever. It's not widespread enough. It's not as widespread as USB. Why not? It's better! Why are all you drives both USB _and_ Firewire? Because if they were only Firewire, they would be useless if you ever wanted to connect them to the majority of systems with no Firewire support. Why are there almost no Firewire peripherals outside these external hard drives?
asiafish wrote:As for FireWire on PCs, I believe it isn't popular because PC venders are too cheap/unwilling to license the 6 pin (bus powered) or newer FireWire ports. Those 4 pin ports that required a separate power supply made FireWire too inconvenient to bother with.
What you say is definitely true for laptops, however most desktops have full-fledge large 6-pin Firewire ports. And it still never caught on. The licensing issue you mention is probably one of the key contributors to the standard's failure to propagate. Why should anyone have to "license" Firewire when USB is free?
Bottom line is, I think it's a matter of definition of expectations. If Firewire's purpose was merely to serve as a proprietary high-speed connector for external storage, then by all means, its current status is fine, and you can say it had at least partial success (although if powered eSATA catches on, it will be the final nail in the coffin of Firewire). And maybe that really was the goal, but it's somewhat disappointing.
Light Peak, however, is clearly and openly being positioned as a universal connectivity technology, and as a full and better alternative to USB3. Therefore it would be completely unacceptable for it to end up as a niche product. It
would be a failure.
Looking back to your original comment I replied to, about USB3 never becoming mainstream - well, it's
already about as mainstream as Firewire
ever was, and continues to catch adopters (even though it sucks!), so Light Peak has a very very tough battle ahead of it.