TPFanatic wrote: ↑Mon Oct 17, 2022 8:04 am
* Was T25 profitable?
If it wasn't, it is only because Lenovo sabotaged it. Whoever bought it,
was willing to pay a premium over a similarly configured T470 (although it wasn't such a big premium as some claimed). Lenovo wasn't losing money per-unit, you can be sure of that. If they didn't make
enough money on the model as a whole, it is only because they deliberately decided to make it a very limited production run, only offered in select locales and through a limited number of channels.
TPFanatic wrote: ↑Mon Oct 17, 2022 8:04 am
* Would a new 7-row be profitable in current market-conditions?
As much as any laptop can be profitable, perhaps more. Especially once the initial investment in designing and producing the keyboard has been done already (which happened with the TP25). When marketed as a specialty feature for a certain class of users, those users would willingly pay a reasonably premium, so each unit could be even more profitable than a base unit.
Suppose that you wanted to make an "X1 Legacy", which is an X1 Extreme but with a 7-row keyboard (like a TP25 was a T470 with a 7-row keyboard). Perhaps such a machine would cost $20 more to produce per unit. Whoever values this feature would gladly pay even a $50 premium (on a machine that costs $1500, that's not much).
TPFanatic wrote: ↑Mon Oct 17, 2022 8:04 am
* How much market-share do 7-row customers / classic enthusiasts even form?
Certainly enough to justify even a 1-2 SKUs with a 7-row (which is what TP25 was), than TopSeller SKU #275 for a T14, which only differs from SKU #274 by having the IR camera.
I don't recall any TP25 units went unsold. I also don't see them being dumped en masse on eBay (which you would expect if there was any surplus, or if they had been badly designed machines).
TPFanatic wrote: ↑Mon Oct 17, 2022 8:04 am
* And is that market-share effectively already controlled by the small-scale production of modded classic ThinkPads and bolt-ons?
Ask yourself. Given the option of getting your modern machine with a classic Thinkpad keyboard engineered, designed, delivered and supported by Lenovo, with a reasonable repair service and long-term part availability, as opposed to a Frankenpad assembled from 15 year old Thinkpads plastics cut with a dremel, a motherboard designed and built "after 5PM" in a no-name foundry, and a production line run by one guy in his basement
who might suddenly get drafted - which would you prefer?
Don't get me wrong - I feel
nothing but respect and awe towards the hobbyist enthusiasts who have produced these engineering marvels - T50, T70, X62, X2100, T700 and others I've forgotten. They do not meet my requirements at this point, so I have not purchased one myself (yet), but that may change in the future. And yet, I'm certain that if Lenovo suddenly decided to bring back the 7-row keyboard, it would sweep that enthusiast market in a heartbeat.
The 7-row keyboard didn't come back not because of any real obstacles. It didn't happen simply because (at least after David Hill's departure), there hasn't been anyone left among Lenovo's decision makers who cared about this, and those who did care, outside Lenovo, were not organized enough to present their case to those decision makers and convince them.
Statements I often hear along the lines of "If there had been any real demand, someone at Lenovo would have done it already" ignore the reality that the market is never 100% efficient. There are always countless opportunities beneath the surface, that are not realized until someone notices them, and then everyone feels "It's obvious; how come it hasn't been done before?" That's what enables start-ups and new ideas to (sometimes) succeed. That's what enabled the "small-scale production of modded classic ThinkPads and bolt-ons" to fill in the void left by Lenovo. It's great that they are around. I hope that at some point there will be a major corporation that notices this opportunity as well (maybe after some enthusiast lobbyists present it convincingly), and give us more options.
